Category Archives: politics

Starve the Beast

Cities and towns in my state raise revenue from two sources. The state sends them money and property taxes. To fulfill the state’s responsibility to educate everybody approximately at the same level the state adds more to the budgets of poor towns than rich ones. In my town much of the revenue comes from property taxes. These taxes are capped. A law passed a few decades ago limits tax revenues from rising more that 2.5 percent a year without going to the local voters and getting what is known as an override.

Costs, for the basket of goods that town buy, have risen faster than 2.5% for the vast majority of the decades since the property tax was put in place. The result has been that we have cut continuously back on the services the town provides. It has almost fallen out of living memory that we used to plow the sidewalks in town.

Some costs are rising so fast that they alone consume the entire 2.5%. Health insurance, in my town, consumed more this year.

We spend about half our budget on schools.

At the last school board meeting they discussed the option of eliminating 12th grade at the high school. They might just be able to met all the mandated requirements in 11 years.

Bleck.

34 cents a day

I recalled that the nation’s forefathers flirted with the idea of repudiating the revolutionary war debt. That reminding is care of the recent spectacle of our president flirting with the a similar idea.

The US debt is 7.7 Trillion, which I gather we borrowed from the rest of the planet. The world population is 6.37 Billion which comes to about $1,200 per person. Alternately, the run rate is about 2.15 Billion a day, or 34 cents a day per person. Half the planet’s population makes less than 2$ a day. Seems grim.

From the point of view of the debtor, there are around 100 Million households (pdf) in the US; 77 thousand dollars per household.

I seem to remember the French got deeply into debt at one point, but the nobility disinterested in raising their own taxes declined to address the problem. The impasse gave rise to some innnovations: the guillotine and driving on the right.

It would be interesting to read a history of the last few centuries couched just in terms of national debt, war financing, and the fortunes made and lost in it’s wake. Lots of money to be made if you have political power to play with a nation’s credit.

Peculiar forms of Property Rights

Surely it is not a coincidence that just about the time that western civilization collectively took away the property rights of slave owners it introduced a curious new form of property right: treating ideas as property. Was this some sort of systemic economic substitution? Was that the dawn of an era when content was king? Is that era now entering it’s twilight? Are we seeing observing a similar uncompensated property taking? Will a substitute class of property rights arise?

Check Your Attorney at the Door

Driving back last night along the turnpike in Connecticut we found bill boards advocating the acquisition of an attorney as the first step in purchasing a house. As I drove a long I got to thinking “That’s silly, why stop at the house?” Why shouldn’t we all have an attorney at our side when engaging in most of life’s transactions. I thought: “I should get myself an attorney before this next toll booth!”

This lead to a conversation with my son about that that saying popular with gun advocates: “A well armed society is a polite society.”

We had heard a eye rolling piece on NPR just a few days before about how the taser advocate are hard at work to see to it that we all carry a tazer with us at all times. They mentioned the polite society meme. 30 years ago the handgun industry tried a similar scam much to their profit in urban America; wasn’t pretty.

I’ve been asking people if they think it would be a good idea to give everybody in their school, office, club a taser – polite is good right? My son’s opinion on this was that his school would rapidly descend into Hobbesian Anarchy.” “It hurts right? … You’d really want to go first then.”

I assume that everybody at Taser International carries a taser around the office, right? One wonders what would happen if you snuck into the office and zapped a few folks from behind and then snuck out.

So then we got to talking about how you might use pricing to temper the speed that society transitions into a state of anarchy. If you made it really expensive to reload then presumably only the rich could afford to slip into a state of anarchy. This only reminded us of how gangs of wealthy young victorian men would terrorize the country side in olde England. It’s a return to traditional values!

Presumably giving everybody their own lawyer would lead to a rapid decent into some hellish modality who’s name I’m not familiar with. Presumably the rich are already testing that out.

Labor

I bet the story of how their PR people will manage this story would make a great article for the New Yorker!

Forced-labor charges for Saudi prince’s wife

By Stephanie Ebbert and Scott Goldstein, Globe Staff and Globe Correspondent  |  March 31, 2005

WINCHESTER — The wife of a Saudi prince was arrested yesterday for allegedly forcing two Indonesian housekeepers to work for her family at homes in Arlington and Winchester for meager wages over nearly two years.

A federal grand jury indicted Hana F. Al Jader on 10 counts of forced labor, domestic servitude, and other immigration offenses, alleging that she hid her servants’ passports and work visas and threatened they would be harmed if they failed to perform the work.

Jader, a 39-year-old Saudi national married to Prince Mohamed Bin Turki Alsaud, …

It’s got it all! Problem, the media, and a hero, the PR team, and I assume there will be movement; except I notice the story New York Times doesn’t appear to have called up this story from it’s farm team paper, the Boston Globe, … yet.

One Sixth

I’m in this 16+% too.

One-third of the respondents to the ABC News poll reported that a friend or relative had died after life support was stopped. And more than half of these respondents were involved in the decision.

I spent an awful lot of hours making sure the DNR was in still on hand.

I can imagine nothing more horrific than having to play Calvin ball with the religious right during that time.

E-Rate

E-rate (or education rate) is a program funded in part by one of those numerous little charges the phone company piles onto your bill under the heading of various taxes and fees. It’s a variation on the old universal service fee that to shift money down the power-law curve an assure that the poor and rural get phones.

FCC established the E-rate program using an organizational structure unusual to the government without conducting a comprehensive assessment to determine which federal requirements, policies, and practices apply to it. The E-rate program is administered by a private, not-for-profit corporation with no contract or memorandum of understanding with FCC, and program Since 1998, the Federal Communications Commission’s (FCC) E-rate program has committed more than $13 billion to help schools and libraries acquire Internet and telecommunications services.

13 Billion, hm. There are around 225 Million people in the US; so that’s $57.77 each. These days the program spends about 2.24 Billion a year, or about ten bucks per person per year.

The program has some serious oversight problems. The GAO has been poking the FCC, which administers the program, in the ribs about these for years. Last year it finally got some traction; at which point the entire program came to a halt. Apparently the program was running outside the usual rules for managing federal funds. It had money invested in unusual ways. It lacked required reserves. To get the program running again the Congress passed a special temporary exception to the rules in December 2004. Of course like all programs where Billions of dollars are going by you can also find some outrageous examples of fraud. The level here is probably worse do to the sloppy oversight structure the FCC setup for the program.

Recently the GAO releasted report (pdf) that summarizes this mess.

What to do? Some folks would like to kill the entire program. They stand on the GAO report and promise everybody ten bucks a year.

The program was set up in 98 as a way, in part, to get Internet into the schools and libraries. If you’ve participated in one of the volunteer events where you pull wires in a old school building it is likely that part of the equipment and the discounted service were paid for by this program. The funds are distributed in a very progressive manner. Rural and poor school districts get much deeper discounts.

The GAO report is very depressing. The laundry list of foul ups in the FCC’s setup for this thing is just plain ugly. They didn’t set goals. They didn’t measure efficiency. They didn’t manage the funds in compliance with the rules. They didn’t require appropriate record retention by the schools and libraries. They didn’t look for gold plating. They didn’t attempt to estimate the rate of bogus payments. All of this the GAO pointed out back in 2000.

Meanwhile I suspect there is whole tangled story to be told in the managerial structure of this thing. The 2.24 Billion is spent by a nonprofit (the USAC or Universal Services Administration Company) a subsidiary of the National Carriers Exchange Association (another nonprofit) thru a for profit organization called the National Carriers Exchange Association Services Incorporated. It looks like the FCC just handed the money over to the telecom industry and and said, you guys take care of this.

My default managerial reaction in a situation like this is to decide first I like the goals of the program. I do, Next question, can it be fixed? It can. It’s clear from the GAO report that just following the rules would fix much of the problem. Finally there is always a hostage problem. The beneficiaries of the program are held hostage by program managers. Punishing the incompetent program managers without doing harm to beneficiaries is difficult. But yeah, management isn’t easy.

The good news is that it appears that the GAO is doing it’s job. Let’s hope the FCC can be convinced to do theirs.

Income Redistribution

Steve Jobs makes an argument I’d not seen before about the structure of the music industry. He argues that the industry’s architecture shifts money down the power-law curve. In effect a few a-list performers make most of the money but the industry has happened on a way to see that the money flows down into the b-list. It does this by signing up lots of b-list acts early in their carriers and then funding that expense from the few that make it into the a-list.

Here’s what he says:

After talking to a lot of people, this is my conclusion: A young artist gets signed, and he or she gets a big advance — a million dollars, or more. And the theory is that the record company will earn back that advance when the artist is successful.

Except that even though they’re really good at picking, only one or two out of the ten that they pick is successful. And so most of the artists never earn back that advance — so the record companies are out that money. Well, who pays for the ones that are the losers?

The winners pay. The winners pay for the losers, and the winners are not seeing rewards commensurate with their success. And they get upset.

From a God like point of view this might be very healthy for the industry. An architecture that starves out all your b-list performers isn’t likely to generate a deep pool of talent that occasionally bubbles up an a-list winner. It’s an entirely reasonable deal that’s offered to the b-list players; we make you reasonably wealthy but in the unlikely scenario that you make it into the a-list your going to help fund all your b-list peers.

Notice that Jobs doesn’t say the industry is screwing the performers. He only says that the ones that make it into the a-list often feel that maybe they shouldn’t have taken the deal. He doesn’t say that the industry is stealing the cash the a-list is making; only that they are shifting it down to the b-list.

Wealth redistribution is one of the standard ways that you can temper the power-law curve. There are good reasons to want that. Starving the pool of talent isn’t a very good long term plan. The architecture Job’s outlines is good for the performers; lowering their life time risk and raising their chances of working in the profession of their choice and it’s good for the industry because it creates a more reliable pool of talent to draw upon.

This is the same framework you find inside companies with their ornate job classifications. In any give time frame some high achievers subsidize the salaries of the low achievers in that time frame. Since high achieving is such a crap shoot of variables the structure tends to compensate for the randomness. It spreads risk for both the employer and for the employees.

This is the same framework that union contracts strive to achieve. A degree of tempering the risk in the out years by spreading the wealth across the union members and turning down the capacious nature of the market.

There is a lot of enthusiasm these days for shifting risk out of social structures and onto individuals. There are reasons not to do that. Reasons that everybody involved might well sign onto. I see lots of benefit in societies with a less severe wealth distribution. I find it sobering how fast we are tearing down these structures.

Jobs’ model implies that the a-list performers are bitter about the deal they made. In the context of the music industry they have limited legal options for renegotiating that deal. What’s a pain in the neck about modern politics is that the a-list can renegotiating the terms of the social contract buying enough senators. In the short term this makes the a-list richer, in the long term it starves out the long tail. That’s not good.