Here’s a thought provoking example of a exchange standard along with an short informed essay about the effects it has on the adjacent parts of the system. The example is the trash chute in an apartment building. In my experience, at least in NYC, much of the trash is broken up into units the size of a plastic shopping bag. That happens to fit nicely into many of these chutes, and size standardization flows back up the supply chain nicely. There are household trash bins that take a standard plastic grocery bag for a liner. Living in an inner ring suburb in Boston, as I now do, I was surprised how hard it was to find a source for those trash bins. In seemingly related news my wife recently made some cloth grocery bags, which are identical in topology to the plastic ones.
Category Archives: standards
Tripping up dead elephants on chains or interop converters
I have an affection for the stories about great standards battles, like the ones around the battle betwen AC and DC (including particularly the electrocution of an elephant). I also have an affection for all the plumbing we build to convert between forms. The adapters from this to that. I particularly love the attachement for your PC that provides it with a cigarette lighter plug, like the one’s found in automobiles, so you can then plug in all those gadgets for your car. So it is with some delight I pass along this letter from the IEEE spectrum magazine.
Can there be any more absurd idea than the Coleman Powerworks power inverter for cars [Resources, November]? There’s something very wrong with this picture: the engine’s alternator generates alternating current (ac), which is converted to direct current (dc) to recharge the battery and is also distributed to a cigarette-lighter receptacle, into which we’re supposed to insert a cigar-shaped plug to send that dc power to an inverter to change it back into ac so that we can plug in our laptop’s power converter, which changes it back to dc to power the laptop! To recap: ac to dc to ac to dc. That doesn’t seem like sound engineering. It’s more like Edison and Tesla are still fighting it out in the backseat of my car.
You can get a gadget (with cup holder) to put in one of your PC’s drive bays so as to provide a cigarette lighter plug on the PC. So there is hope of making this chain longer. A quick search shows I can find many adaptors from a cigarette lighter to a power’d USB cable, but I’ve not found an adapter from a USB cable to cigarette lighter plug.
Taming Gorrillas
My thoughts keep turning to this effort by the publishers to update the robot exclusion protocol, i.e. ACAP. The current situation with the robot exclusion protocol certainly doesn’t look stable. We are going to get a revision, or substitute to that protocol. But who has the market power, the legitimacy, the technical and legal chops to create one? It just makes your brain hurt!
I think you could say … the current protocol is works. But why? A combination of factors? A gentleman’s agreement (that doesn’t sound stable). A concern that failing to conform would blacken your spider’s reputation. Why wouldn’t search engines wouldn’t associate with such spiders? That the protocol appears to work is surprising. These are very weak drivers.
It’s a great edge case in the world of protocols. It isn’t technically or legally enforced. It is impossible to enforce it technically; and any attempt to enforce it legally would rapidly bring a lot of issues out from under the rug.
It is a case study in the general problem: how to tame a pure public good. In this case information. So the usual circus of issues come to play. “Pee in the pool.” “Information wants to be free.” Copyright. Trade secrets. Privacy. Good manners. I guess it’s possible to imagine a perfect descendant of the robot exclusion protocol what would all me to mark a communication with some metadata that states exactly what purposes I license it for going forward.
Marking pages with permission metadata is exactly what the robot exclusion protocol is doing. Off to one side it says “sure index this” v.s. “no peeking!”. In that way it is almost identical to a copyright license, plus the convention that spiders tend to know where to look for it.
I suspect that something like ACAP is inevitable. I suspect it’s inevitable that the tie to copyright licensing will be strengthened. Spiders can look forward to some regulatory arm twisting.
With the big wealthy content owners on one side and the big wealthy search engines on the other it’s going to be fighting gorillas. That can’t be avoided. A shame really, given the ties to the privacy problem. Since it is tempting consider using copyright law as a lever in licensing limited use of one’s personal data.
Update: Andy Oram offers an interesting perspective.
The Wrong Default
End to end encryption should be the default, but it’s not. So, I find it interesting to look for the drivers that might change that. What will create strong enough demand that it will become unacceptable to ever allow any data to move thru public networks in the clear?
Fear of identity theft is one such driver. A significant portion of the public lives in fear that their identity is at risk because we regularly hear reports of data that has gone missing in transit. Public fear raises the temperature; but it is a very diffuse driver.
Recently the US congress has been rushing to pass a bill that might create another driver. Unlike the fear of the general public this bill should scare all of us who move bits around. Who are these intermediaries? Well of course it’s the telecommunication companies and the internet service providers. But, it also all of us who kindly let random visitors use our internet connections. So if you ever let a visitor to your house use your Wifi you are at risk. The stick in the bill is a huge fine; 150 thousand dollars for the first offense, and 300 thousand dollars for the second offense.
The kindest way to describe this bill is that if you witness a crime and then you fail to report it you maybe fined. For example say you glance at your logs and you see some suspicious behavior. The bill requires that you report that suspicious behavior. It’s slightly more specific, having a focus on child porn, but it’s also extremely weak on exactly what amounts to suspicious.
My point is not to point out what a obnoxious law this is, but rather to point out how this creates demand for better encryption. I want a toggle I can throw on my wireless access points that says “Pass no data in the clear.” Since with such a toggle I can then assert there is zero chance I even had the opportunity to observe the crime.
I think that’s neat. A driver for a better safer default that targets the intermediaries. Since I think they are the folks likely to be able to change the default I think this law offers up an interesting class of moves in the game we are playing. It leads me to a more general question. What can we do to create incentives for intermediaries to drive the defaults toward safer settings?
Standards in Fast Changing Industries
This is a delightful sentence:
I have a T-Mobile cell phone, which uses GSM technology; it works all over the world – and in parts of New Jersey. – Paul Krugman
It’s delightful, of course, because New Jersey is the home of Bell Labs. Paul’s posting is a short musing on the current state of play in the standards battle about cellular phone. He’s sense is that European standards practice appears to have bested the Americian ones at this point. Maybe so, I tend to agree.
There are lots of aspects to this story. For example an interesting one is how American standards practices appear to give us the upper hand the computer industries standards battles. While it is my impression that the European approachs have given them the upper hand in industries that are evolving more slowly. Another aspect of this is an American affection for that oxymoron: multiple standards. That tends to blind us to the winner take all nature of these things – these are standards battles and wars, not competition in the commodity market sense.
T-Mobile positioning in the US market is as a second or third tier player. The different vendors in the US have core markets which overlap less than one might expect. T-Mobile’s focus is on down market urban customers. Their network’s coverage is great in cities, and pretty lousy in the suburbs, and it’s useless in the country side. You become quite aware of that if you use t-mobile’s cheapest offering, prepaid, as I do. If you take the path of least resistance (monthly subscription/lock-in, loss leader phone, 2 year contract, screw you occasionally on overcharges) then you get access to the emerging AT&T GSM network; which has more coverage. Though still it’s useless in rural locations.
GSM was designed with a higher population densities in mind. In Europe those higher density venues aren’t as down market as they are in the US.
Expensive Eccentric
Markets are the friend of the plutocracy. In the market the votes are per dollar rather than per person. Which is, in passing, one reason why “market choice” isn’t synonymous with democratic freedom. Progressive governments do assorted things to counter the pro-plutocracy tendency of markets, for example creating public goods that raise the foundation the entire economy stands upon, but that’s not what this post is about.
Tibor Scitovskyin his book “The Joyless Economy” points out that mass production can act as a countervailing force. Mass production, which can lower unit costs tremendously and that empowers the masses to draw out of the economy goods which raise their standard of living and fulfill their desires. The market aggregates their dollars and mass production leverages those dollars. These pseudo public goods are leveraged by both rich and poor.
This arguement is analogous to the change the subject argument made whenever the distribution of wealth becomes the subject of attention; e.g. that rising standards of living have raised all boats. I don’t have much patience with those arguments, but that’s not what this post is about.
Economies of scale create a well known perverse effect; they tend to make the largest producer in an industry the cost, quality, and profit leader. That’s is good for the plutocracy and bad for the health of the market. What Scitovskyin highlights is a perverse effect on the consumer side.
Scitovskyin uses an older term for the consumer, he calls them the mob. The mob is the complement of the plutocracy. The mob can only benefit from economies of scale if a coherent demand signal emerges in the market about their desires. In the absence of that signal the producers don’t know what to make. That creates a yearning for both producers and consumers to rendezvous, standardize, on achievable desires.
It is perverse that mass production creates incentives for everybody to be more conventional. Advertisers pour money into the market is their yearning to accelerated the forming of this or that consensus. It’s parsimonious to argue that when they succeed it’s their desires, rather than the mob who’s desires really being fulfilled. One is tempted at this point to call them the herd. In any case, economies of scale act encourage normative of behavior in the mob.
Markets make it expensive to be eccentric. What ever goods and services the eccentric desires are substantially less likely to be produced by the market. Of course if your rich you can bear that expense. If your poor these market forces pressure you to extinguish your abnormal desires. There is a long tradition of plutocrats fearing the mob, see French revolution. Early propagandists felt it was in their brief to help keep the mob in line. It probably says something about American education that I’d not previously noticed that the market works to normalize the mob’s behaviors.
It is amusing to note that the rich, while probably not born more or less abnormal than the rest of us, are less likely to have their rough edges worn off.
But there is another point I want to draw out here. As I’ve only just begun this book I don’t know if he goes onto make it. The economies of scale also work to extinguish some goods and services. Mass production is not a universal solution. It is not effective across all goods and services. It works well for something thing, e.g. lawn furniture, but much less well for others, e.g. live music.
So a second perversity of markets is that they work to extinguish goods and services that are resistant to scaling and this happens even if there is substantial demand for them. Thought provokingly, by the force of habit the market will label those activities as eccentric; and when members of the mob signal their demand for them they the market’s return signal will be “mind your manners.”
Revolutionary
I found myself sitting next to a copy of “The Autobiography of Malcolm X” recently. I’d forgotten how much raw clarity and passion ran through the movements (anti-war, civil right, black power, feminism) of that era. Curious that having lived in that time one would forget.
There is a very sweet, though deeply sexist, section of the book about how he came to marry his wife. It includes this paragraph:
Mr. Elijah Muhammad taught us that a tall man married to a too-short woman, or vice-versa, they looked odd, not matched. And he taught that a wife’s ideal age was half the man’s age, plus seven. he taught that women are physiologically ahead of men. Mr. Muhammad taught that no marriage could succeed where the woman did not look up with respect to the man. And that the man had to have something above and beyond the wife in order for her to be able to look to him for psychological security.
Which I took note of because I’m currently excessively fascinated by the personal rule sets that people accumulate.
Imagine my amusement to see one of those rules appear in today’s comic!. Times change.
Changing the Rules
I like this quote.
If a majority of the population is well accustomed to certain basic rules and if these rules work reasonably well common people even tend to stick more to these reliable rules than members of parliament and government would do – even if these rules are very unjust for some individuals or even major groups.
On the other hand, changing rules alone is only the one half of the process of change – the new rules must be known and accepted by a broad majority of the population to become effective. Direct Democracy does help to raise a discussion on rules in the families, at work and in other places ordinary people meet each other. Experts are forced to explain the necessity for change not only to a small number of people (members of government and parliament) but to everybody. This is very helpful to ensure that (almost) everybody will understand the need for change.
Reworking institutions to some end or another, e.g. the entrepreneurial act, is fundamentally about phase changes from one widely adopted rule set into something else. What I like in this framing of the problem is how it highlights the switching cost. The installed base is invested in the existing rule set. While switching is risky, just as important is how they are used to paying to maintain the current system. When the cost/benefits of the old/new regime are distant, impersonal, and fuzzy why should they change? I’m amused by the presumption that it is experts who would face this problem – seems to me that it’s more often the affected minority who are interested. Lastly I like how it faces up to the politicking/marketing necessary to drive such change.
I find the quote more interesting stripped of it’s context, but if you want you can look it up.
Early Patent Pooling
My recieved wisdom is that patent pooling was invented to solve a deadlock problem. As I understand the story the sewing machine makers all acquired assorted patents during the early years. Then in the 1850s they sued each other. The courts forced them all to stop production bringing the entire industry to a halt. Shortly after they all all gathered together and invented the patent pool. (This is a half a century before such activity would raise serious antitrust questions.)
Dan Cohen notes that the Shaker’s also pooled their patents. Of course the two cases aren’t quite the same since those religious communities are not natural competitors while the sewing machine manufactures are.
I wonder which came first? Certainly the idea that your theological kin form a club, with lower cost access to various club goods is very old.
Payments? Check
Amazon appears to be the firm doing the most sophisticated job of engineering an instance of the new species of operating system. They just released the API for the payment component. This component weighs in at 260 pages.
Some of what they have put forward, e.g. the historical pricing or the access to Alexa data, are perfect examples of how these OS will leverage getting close to unique resources that the hub vendor has aggregated – i.e. these are vertical in the sense that they leverage unique supply side advantages. Others like the storage and compute offerings are perfectly horizontal. The payment’s offering, while principally horizontal, a bit of both.
Clearly some of these are more strategic than others. I’d love to see their road map and to understand better the cross API synergy and lock-in. I presume there are people at eBay/paypal, Google, Microsoft, and Yahoo thinking a lot about those. If I were them I’d hope Walmart buys Amazon.
It is looking risky to be a hub vendor who just sell bandwidth, hosting, payments, what ever. It is interesting how quickly these hubs are threatening each other’s survival.