Tim Oren takes a poke at simplistic applications of Reed’s law. I’d love to see a careful attempt to enumerate a long list of the barriers that frustrate the pipeline between Moore’s law and his friends and the economic productivity improvements that so pop out much much latter.

It takes a long time for society to puzzle out how to harvest the opportunities generated by these guys. It often takes even longer for the society to figure out how to fold them into culture.

Tim’s critique, while entirely valid, reminds me a bit of those famous quotes from the first few decades of computing about the upper limits on demand for computing. Will we think much the same thing about the arguments that there are limits on group forming in a few decades?

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